130 Countries Hate America
Tomorrow the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change will be releasing it’s 4th Assessment Report on, you guessed it, climate change.
This report will discuss the current level of knowledge about climate change; what observations have been made using atmospheric, oceanographic and geographic evidence; the advances and knowledge gained in the areas of paleoclimatology and what predictions can be made about changing conditions.
There is an excellent video from 2004 showing Chief Scientist for Climate Change Programs with the Climate Institute, Michael MacCracken describing the IPCC. (Hat Tip: Scitizen)
This report has been written using a massive amount of work with over 2500 scientists, 800 contributors, 450 authors from 130 countries. This effort has been going on for the past 6 years and the results are expected to be a slap in the face of the global warming denialists (again).
Current indications aren’t good.
Indeed as bad as the expected results of the report are, for example a rise in levels between 5 and 23 inches (0.13-0.65m), some scientists are saying the report plays down the dangers. One study published in Science showed double the rise in sea levels and James Hansen, the almost-gagged-by-Bush-appointee climate expert at NASA, has estimated up to many times that amount. An article describing the ‘controversy’ can be found here.
Note: none of these people are saying nothing will happen? None of these people are saying climate change is a myth?
There is an excellent Op-Ed at the Washington Post about the report by Naomi Oreskes. She points out just how long scientists have been talking about global warming. Her conclusion is great.
[In 1979] the JASON scientists[, a group of top scientists, paid by the DOD to investigate just about everything,] predicted that atmospheric carbon dioxide might double by 2035, resulting in mean global temperature increases of 2 to 3 degrees Celsius and polar warming of as much as 10 to 12 degrees. This report reached the Carter White House, where science adviser Frank Press asked the National Academy of Sciences for a second opinion. An academy committee, headed by MIT meteorologist Jule Charney, affirmed the JASON conclusion: “If carbon dioxide continues to increase, [we] find no reason to doubt that climate changes will result, and no reason to believe that these changes will be negligible.”
It was these concerns that led to the establishment of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and, in 1992, to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, which called for immediate action to reverse the trend of mounting greenhouse gas emissions. One early signatory was President George H.W. Bush, who called on world leaders to translate the written document into “concrete action to protect the planet.” Three months later, the treaty was unanimously ratified by the Senate.
Since then, scientists around the world have worked assiduously to flesh out the details of this broadly affirmed picture. Many details have been adjusted, but the basic parameters have not changed. Well, one thing has. In 1965, the concern that greenhouse gases would lead to global warming was a prediction. Today, it is an established scientific fact. [my emphasis]
You can probably guess what I’ll be reading this weekend.